2026 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win at the 98th Academy Awards?

As the 2026 Oscars award ceremony comes closer creates buzz among fans. The National Film Awards will provide predictions for which films, filmmakers, and stars will win Best Picture and more at the 98th Academy Awards. Let’s dive into this guide to know.

98th Academy Awards 2026

As the 2025 Awards season officially starts with the Gotham Film Awards arriving in early December, and the 2026 Oscar Awards shortlists are expected mid-month, the race for the 98th Academy Awards is heating up fast.

With critics groups set to announce the picks through the year’s end, the buzz around Oscar predictions, Best Picture contenders, and awards season frontrunners is stronger than ever.

Right now, One Battle After Another, Hamnet, and Sinners are dominating and are currently top-three frontrunners, with Marty Supreme rising steadily in the list.

While these titles lead the 98th Academy Awards nominations list, this article is set to share its personal nomination predictions, exploring which films could break through as the season unfolds.

Whether it’s a powerhouse contender or dark-horse surprises like Sentimental Value, the coming weeks will shape one of the most competitive Best Picture races in years.

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2026 Oscar Predictions List: 98th Academy Awards

2026 Oscar Predictions

The Oscar 2026 Nominations will be announced on Thursday, 22 January 2026. But below we provide our nominations prediction.

Here is the complete list of the 98th Academy Awards predictions:

Best Picture

One Battle After Another

Frontrunners

  • F1
  • Frankenstein
  • Hamnet
  • Jay Kelly
  • Marty Supreme
  • One Battle After Another
  • Sentimental Value
  • Sinners
  • The Testament of Ann Lee
  • Wicked: For Good

Contenders

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • Bugonia
  • It Was Just an Accident
  • The Secret Agent
  • Train Dreams

Long Shots

  • A House of Dynamite
  • Is This Thing On?
  • No Other Choice
  • Rental Family
  • Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

In a Perfect World

  • 28 Years Later
  • Roofman
  • Weapons

Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”

Frontrunners:

  • Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another
  • Ryan Coogler — Sinners
  • Jafar Panahi — It Was Just an Accident
  • Joachim Trier — Sentimental Value
  • Chloé Zhao — Hamnet

Contenders:

  • James Cameron — Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • Guillermo del Toro — Frankenstein
  • Mona Fastvold — The Testament of Ann Lee
  • Yorgos Lanthimos — Bugonia
  • Josh Safdie — Marty Supreme

Long Shots:

  • Noah Baumbach — Jay Kelly
  • Clint Bentley — Train Dreams
  • Kathryn Bigelow — A House of Dynamite
  • Kleber Mendonça Filho — The Secret Agent
  • Park Chan-wook — No Other Choice

In a Perfect World:

  • Joseph Kosinski — F1
  • Harry Lighton — Pillion
  • Benny Safdie — The Smashing Machine

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio

Frontrunners:

  • Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme
  • Leonardo DiCaprio — One Battle After Another
  • Joel Edgerton — Train Dreams
  • Michael B. Jordan — Sinners
  • Wagner Moura — The Secret Agent

Check: TikTok Awards Australia 2025 Winners List

Contenders:

  • Will Arnett — Is This Thing On?
  • George Clooney — Jay Kelly
  • Dwayne Johnson — The Smashing Machine
  • Jesse Plemons — Bugonia
  • Jeremy Allen White — Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme

Long Shots:

  • Russell Crowe — Nuremberg
  • Daniel Day-Lewis — Anemone
  • Ethan Hawke — Blue Moon
  • Lee Byung-hun — No Other Choice
  • Channing Tatum — Roofman

In a Perfect World:

  • Ṣọpẹ́ Dìrísù — My Father’s Shadow
  • Dylan O’Brien — Twinless
  • Ben Whishaw — Peter Hujar’s Day

Read: International Emmy Awards 2025: Winners, Nominees & When & Where to Watch

Best Actress

Cynthia Erivo

Frontrunners:

  • Jessie Buckley — Hamnet
  • Rose Byrne — If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
  • Cynthia Erivo — Wicked: For Good
  • Chase Infiniti — One Battle After Another
  • Renate Reinsve — Sentimental Value

Contenders:

  • Laura Dern — Is This Thing On?
  • Jennifer Lawrence — Die, My Love
  • Amanda Seyfried — The Testament of Ann Lee
  • Emma Stone — Bugonia
  • Tessa Thompson — Hedda

Long Shots:

  • Kate Hudson — Song Sung Blue
  • Julia Roberts — After the Hunt
  • June Squibb — Eleanor the Great
  • Sydney Sweeney — Christy
  • Eva Victor — Sorry, Baby

In a Perfect World:

  • Jane Levy — A Little Prayer
  • Elizabeth Olsen — Eternity
  • Imogen Poots — The Chronology of Water

Best Supporting Actor

Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein

Frontrunners:

  • Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein
  • Paul Mescal — Hamnet
  • Sean Penn — One Battle After Another
  • Adam Sandler — Jay Kelly
  • Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value

Contenders:

  • Miles Caton — Sinners
  • Benicio del Toro — One Battle After Another
  • Delroy Lindo — Sinners
  • William H. Macy — Train Dreams
  • Jeremy Strong — Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Long Shots:

  • Jonathan Bailey — Wicked: For Good
  • Billy Crudup — Jay Kelly
  • Jacobi Jupe — Hamnet
  • Tracy Letts — A House of Dynamite
  • Josh O’Connor — Wake Up Dead Man

In a Perfect World:

  • Aidan Delbis — Bugonia
  • Diego Luna — Kiss of the Spider Woman
  • Lewis Pullman — The Testament of Ann Lee

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Madigan: Weapons

Frontrunners:

  • Elle Fanning — Sentimental Value
  • Ariana Grande — Wicked: For Good
  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas — Sentimental Value
  • Amy Madigan — Weapons
  • Teyana Taylor — One Battle After Another

Contenders:

  • Odessa A’zion — Marty Supreme
  • Regina Hall — One Battle After Another
  • Nina Hoss — Hedda
  • Jennifer Lopez — Kiss of the Spider Woman
  • Wunmi Mosaku — Sinners

Long Shots:

  • Emily Blunt — The Smashing Machine
  • Glenn Close — Wake Up Dead Man
  • Zoey Deutch — Nouvelle Vague
  • Gwyneth Paltrow — Marty Supreme
  • Hailee Steinfeld — Sinners

In a Perfect World:

  • Rebecca Ferguson — A House of Dynamite
  • Indya Moore — Father Mother Sister Brother
  • Mari Yamamoto — Rental Family

Best Original Screenplay

A House of Dynamite: Noah Oppenheim

Frontrunners:

  • Marty Supreme — Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
  • Sinners — Ryan Coogler
  • The Testament of Ann Lee — Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold
  • A House of Dynamite — Noah Oppenheim
  • Sentimental Value — Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt

Contenders:

  • Is This Thing On? — Arnett, Bishop, Chappell & Cooper
  • Jay Kelly — Baumbach & Mortimer
  • Rental Family — Blahut & Hikari
  • If I Had Legs I’d Kick You — Mary Bronstein
  • It Was Just an Accident — Jafar Panahi

Long Shots:

  • Weapons — Zach Cregger
  • The Secret Agent — Kleber Mendonça Filho
  • Blue Moon — Robert Kaplow
  • Materialists — Celine Song
  • Sorry, Baby — Eva Victor

In a Perfect World:

  • Eddington — Ari Aster
  • Black Bag — David Koepp
  • Dead Man’s Wire — Austin Kolodney

Read: Indonesian Movie Actors Awards 2025 Winners List

Best Adapted Screenplay

Bugonia

Frontrunners:

  • One Battle After Another — Paul Thomas Anderson
  • Train Dreams — Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar
  • Frankenstein — Guillermo del Toro
  • Bugonia — Will Tracy
  • Hamnet — Chloé Zhao

Contenders:

  • No Other Choice — Park Chan-wook & team
  • Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere — Scott Cooper
  • Hedda — Nia DaCosta
  • Wake Up Dead Man — Rian Johnson
  • The Smashing Machine — Benny Safdie

Long Shots:

  • Hedda — Nia DaCosta
  • The Life of Chuck — Mike Flanagan
  • Wicked: For Good — Fox & Holzman
  • Nouvelle Vague — Gent & Palmo
  • Nuremberg — James Vanderbilt

In a Perfect World:

  • Die My Love — Birch, Ramsay & Walsh
  • Kiss of the Spider Woman — Bill Condon
  • H Is for Hawk — Emma Donoghue & Philippa Lowthorpe

Best Animated Feature

Zootopia 2

Frontrunners:

  • Arco
  • Elio
  • KPop Demon Hunters
  • Scarlet
  • Zootopia 2

Contenders:

  • Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle
  • In Your Dreams
  • Little Amélie
  • Ne Zha 2
  • SpongeBob: Search for Squarepants

Long Shots:

  • A Magnificent Life
  • The Bad Guys 2
  • Dog Man
  • Predator: Killer of Killers
  • The Twits

In a Perfect World:

  • Boys Go to Jupiter
  • Chainsaw Man: Reze Arc
  • Lesbian Space Princess

98th Academy Awards Date & Time

Event98th Academy Awards (Oscar 2026)
DateMarch 15, 2026
Time4:30 am – 7:30 am
Venue / LocationRay Dolby Ballroom, Los Angeles, USA
HostConan O’Brien

Conclusion

The 98th Academy Awards were scheduled to be held on 15th March 2026, but we provide our nomination predictions for the 2026 Oscars. If we miss any of the names that need to be added to the nominees list, drop your comment.

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